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    我国山洪灾害分析评价方法现状及展望

    Flash flood assessment approach in China and its future prospects

    • 摘要: 介绍了国内外山洪灾害分析评价方法现状以及目前我国山洪灾害分析评价的基本思路,以全国山洪灾害分析评价南方片区示范县湖南省浏阳市为例,介绍了以县为单位的山洪灾害分析评价方法及取得的成果。现有的工作底图、基础数据和现场调查成果为在全国山洪灾害分析评价中推广应用分布式水文模型提供了条件。随着科技的发展和研究的深入,山洪灾害分析评价及预警必将向精细化、准确化、自动化和智能化方向发展。

       

      Abstract: In recent years, the flash flood disaster assessment has being implemented across China. This paper reviews flash flood management in both nationwide and abroad; the basic principles and approaches on flash flood hazard assessment in China was introduced. Taking Liuyang County as a typical example for southern China, this paper presented approaches and achievements on flash flood hazard assessment in county-level, including flash flood prone areas, current flood control capacity, and critical rainfall amount on flash flood watches and warnings for each riverside-village. As the geographical, hydrological and meteorological information for each watershed was provided by the topographic map, basic data and investigation on flash flood prone areas in this national project, it is feasible that Distributed Hydrology Model could be widely used in flash flood assessment to obtain more accurate and effective flood information for riverside-villages in large-scale areas. With the development of science and technology, flash flood hazard prevention will be more specific, accurate, automatic and intelligent in future.

       

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