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    邹心怡, 赵丽平, 王思楠. 基于SRPCM的新安江模型与垂向混合产流模型在山东省日照水库的应用研究[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2025, 35(7): 1-6, 84. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025294
    引用本文: 邹心怡, 赵丽平, 王思楠. 基于SRPCM的新安江模型与垂向混合产流模型在山东省日照水库的应用研究[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2025, 35(7): 1-6, 84. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025294
    ZOU Xinyi, ZHAO Liping, WANG Sinan. Application research of the Xin'anjiang Model and the Vertical Mixed Runoff Model based on the SRPCM in Rizhao Reservoir, Shandong Province[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2025, 35(7): 1-6, 84. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025294
    Citation: ZOU Xinyi, ZHAO Liping, WANG Sinan. Application research of the Xin'anjiang Model and the Vertical Mixed Runoff Model based on the SRPCM in Rizhao Reservoir, Shandong Province[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2025, 35(7): 1-6, 84. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025294

    基于SRPCM的新安江模型与垂向混合产流模型在山东省日照水库的应用研究

    Application research of the Xin'anjiang Model and the Vertical Mixed Runoff Model based on the SRPCM in Rizhao Reservoir, Shandong Province

    • 摘要: 针对非线性水文模型参数率定易陷入局部最优解,以及半干旱半湿润区产流机制的适用性问题,以山东省日照水库为例,结合系统响应参数率定方法(System Response Parameter Calibration Method,SRPCM),开展新安江模型与垂向混合产流模型的对比评估。通过构建SRPCM优化框架,将非线性参数率定转化为线性系统响应求解过程,有效克服参数局部最优陷阱的问题,并基于31场历史洪水事件进行模拟验证。结果表明:SRPCM可有效应用于2类水文模型的参数优化;在日照水库所在的半干旱半湿润区,垂向混合产流模型因考虑超渗产流机制,其径流深与洪峰流量模拟精度总体优于新安江模型。

       

      Abstract: Addressing the challenges of nonlinear hydrological model parameter calibration easily converging to local optima and the applicability issues of runoff generation mechanisms in semi-arid and semi-humid regions, this study conducts a comparative assessment of the Xin'anjiang Model and the Vertical Mixed Runoff Model using the System Response Parameter Calibration Method (SRPCM), with Rizhao Reservoir in Shandong Province as the case study. An SRPCM optimization framework was established, transforming the nonlinear parameter calibration process into a linear system response solution, effectively overcoming the local optima trap. And it is calibrated and validated using 31 historical flood events. The results demonstrate that: The SRPCM can be effectively applied for parameter optimization in both hydrological models; In the semi-arid and semi-humid region of Rizhao Reservoir, the Vertical Mixed Runoff Model, by incorporating the infiltration-excess runoff mechanism, the simulation accuracy of runoff depth and peak flood discharge of the Vertical Mixed Runoff Model is generally better than that of the Xin'anjiang Model.

       

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