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    尹雅清,刘桓语,李匡,等. 天津市杨庄水库“2024.8.10”暴雨洪水复盘分析[J]. 中国防汛抗旱,2025,35(4):63−69. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025034
    引用本文: 尹雅清,刘桓语,李匡,等. 天津市杨庄水库“2024.8.10”暴雨洪水复盘分析[J]. 中国防汛抗旱,2025,35(4):63−69. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025034
    YIN Yaqing,LIU Huanyu,LI Kuang,et al.Analysis of "2024.8.10" rainstorm flood in Yangzhuang Reservoir of Tianjin City[J].China Flood & Drought Management,2025,35(4):63−69. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025034
    Citation: YIN Yaqing,LIU Huanyu,LI Kuang,et al.Analysis of "2024.8.10" rainstorm flood in Yangzhuang Reservoir of Tianjin City[J].China Flood & Drought Management,2025,35(4):63−69. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025034

    天津市杨庄水库“2024.8.10”暴雨洪水复盘分析

    Analysis of "2024.8.10" rainstorm flood in Yangzhuang Reservoir of Tianjin City

    • 摘要: 2024年8月9—10日,泃河流域发生短时大暴雨过程,杨庄水库洪峰流量达到历史最大1 100 m3/s。基于中国山洪水文模型(China Flash Flood Hydrological Model,CNFF)、IFMS/Urban(IWHR-Integrated Flood Modeling System)构建水文、水动力模型复盘模拟了暴雨洪涝过程。结果表明:降雨重现期20~50 a,入库洪峰流量重现期10~20 a,最大下泄流量500 m3/s;洪水调度有效削减了上游洪峰超50%,未出现最大出库流量与洪峰遭遇叠加的情况,充分发挥了杨庄水库的防洪作用;河道洪水分析、地面淹没分析模拟与水文观测、现场调研基本吻合。建议汛期水库结合天气预报尽量采用预泄手段,提前降低水库水位,泄流控制在300 m3/s及以下。

       

      Abstract: From August 9 to 10 of 2024, a short-term heavy rainstorm occurred in the Juhe River, and the flood peak flow of Yangzhuang Reservoir in Tianjin City reached the historical maximum of 1 100 m3/s. In this paper, based on the analysis of the characteristics of the rainstorm and flood characteristics, the hydrological and hydrodynamic models are constructed based on CNFF and IFMS/Urbans to simulate the rainstorm and flood process. The results show that: the return period of rainfall is 20~50 years, the return period of flood peak flow is 10~20 years, and the maximum discharge flow is 500 m3/s; The flood dispatching process effectively reduced the upstream flood peak by more than 50%, and there was no superposition of the maximum outflow and the flood peak, which gave full play to the flood control role of Yangzhuang Reservoir; River flood analysis and ground inundation analysis simulation are basically consistent with hydrological observation and field investigation. It is suggested that the reservoir should adopt the pre-discharge method in combination with the weather forecast during flood seasons, reduce the water level of the reservoir in advance, and control the discharge as far as possible at 300 m3/s and below. The research results can provide reference for flood forecasting and flood operation of Yangzhuang Reservoir.

       

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