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    2021年珠江流域旱情分析与思考

    Brief analysis and thoughts on the drought of the Pearl River basin in 2021

    • 摘要: 总结2021年珠江的降雨、来水、咸潮特点,对降雨偏少发生的年代际背景和天气气候系统进行统计分析,初步探讨2021年干旱发生的原因。同时,针对2021年流域抗旱保供水预报预警工作存在的一些短板与弱项,提出数据资源整合、枯季水文监测、径流智能预报、水文干旱指标深化研究等方面的思考与建议。

       

      Abstract: The characteristics of rainfall, water flow and salt tide in the Pearl River basin in 2021 were summarized, and the statistical analysis on the interdecadal background of less rainfall and weather climate system were analyzed, and the causes of drought in 2021 were preliminarily discussed. At the same time, according to the shortcomings and weaknesses in the prediction and early- warning of the drought relief and water supply in 2021, some thoughts and suggestions on the data resource integration, hydrological monitoring in dry season, the intelligent runoff prediction, and the hydrological drought indicators and so on were put forward.

       

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